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 Beast vs. Bust
Posted by BeastOrBust on Saturday, Mar 28 2009  -  about 3 years ago
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Terrell Owens


Beast


Owning TO in any fantasy league guarantees you two things. 1) hugely consistent production, and 2) heartburn. Any other player would be too frustrating to own. TO is an exception.   

TO will turn 36 next season, however his 6’3” 224lb frame remains in peak physical shape. He has missed only 1 game over the last 3 seasons with Dallas while posting numbers at or above his career averages. Most amazingly is his durability, which has kept him on the field never less than 14 games per season (when directly associated with injury) over his 13 year career.

The 2009 offseason trade to the Buffalo Bills is something for TO owners to get excited about. Historically Owens is his most well behaved in his first season with a new franchise. In addition, he has shown a spike in productivity in the two years following a trade. Between 1996 and 2003, TO averaged 1,071 yds and 10 TD’s with the 49ers. In his first year with the Eagles in 2004 he posted 1,200 yds and 14 TD’s. Prior to suspension in 2005, TO was on route to even better numbers in his second season in Philadelphia. In his first year with the Cowboys TO posted 1,180 yards and 13 TD’s, only to show improvement in his sophmore season in Dallas (1,355 yds, 15 TD’s).
 
There is no doubt that TO is an egotistical player that always has something to prove. His statistics show that he becomes even more motivated when a franchise decides they can’t deal with his antics any longer. TO will have a new city to show off for in 2009 and his one year contract in Buffalo will be even greater incentive to behave himself should he want an extension. Dynasty owner can expect another statistically consistent season out of this freakish beast.
 
Bust
 
Terrell Owens is a Buffalo Bill. Hmm. I didn’t see that coming. Now before everything starts jumping on the T.O./Trent Edwards/Lee Evans fantasy bandwagon, let’s slow down and think about this. Haven’t we all have seen this movie before? Because I have seen it three times and it ended the same way each time.
 
T.O. will be 36 years old this season and while in tip top physical condition, he is not the fantasy beast he once was. Sure, he might have a few outbursts of vintage T.O. production this year, but it will be lost in a sea of inconsistency. And most importantly, will it be worth the outbursts off the field and on the sidelines? Doubtful. 
 
The questions in the passing game remain, T.O. or no T.O. Trent Edwards is still learning how to be an NFL QB and while he has tremendous leadership skills, he is lacking in fantasy stats at the moment. He has appeared in 24 games in his two year career, with 3 multiple passing TD games to his credit and zero 300 yard games. He couldn’t properly utilize a Top 15 WR talent like Lee Evans and get him the ball downfield consistently. Maybe T.O. will take some pressure off of Evans, but the pressure will be on Trent Edwards. He asked for T.O. and now he has to deal with it. Maybe the honeymoon will last a few years, like it did with Tony Romo, but either way the track record of T.O. eventually acting out towards his QB is pretty solid.
 
In real life football, this is a low risk / high reward proposition for the Bills. T.O. is on a one year deal and they can cut him at the slightest outburst if they so choose. But in fantasy football, it is just a risky situation. The offense will definitely be the subject of sleeper talk this summer, but I am not buying into it. Let someone else roll the dice on T.O. being a good soldier in Buffalo. You don’t need the headache.
 

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